Cornerstone resource · Long Island contractors
AEO for Long Island Contractors: The 2026 Playbook
How home-service businesses on Long Island get cited by ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, and Google AI Overviews — trade by trade, query by query, with the schema and tactics most local agencies are still ignoring in 2026.
Open ChatGPT and ask: “Who is the best HVAC contractor in Hicksville NY?” Or ask Claude: “I need a kitchen remodeler in Suffolk County under $50K, who should I call?” Or run “emergency plumber Hempstead NY” through Perplexity. Each model answers with three or four named businesses and a handful of citation links underneath.
The chances that a given Long Island contractor is one of the named businesses are close to zero. Not because the work is worse. Because the model has no structured way to find them, no on-platform proof they exist, and no third-party signal telling it they are credible. That is the AEO gap, and it is widening every month.
This page is the playbook for closing that gap. It is written for owners of HVAC, plumbing, roofing, electrical, kitchen remodel, bathroom remodel, and general-contracting businesses operating in Nassau and Suffolk Counties. The framework is the Citation Stack — covered in full at /citation-stack — and what follows is the contractor-specific application: which queries matter, which schemas ship, which citation surfaces move the needle, and which mistakes are still costing local contractors money in 2026.
Section 01
Why AEO matters more than SEO for Long Island contractors
AI search is replacing Google for the high-intent local queries that drive most contractor revenue. Google rolled AI Overviews out across the United States in 2024 and expanded coverage through 2025; the search results page now answers a growing share of service-business queries inside the SERP itself. Anthropic and OpenAI both report year-over-year usage growth measured in multiples, not percentages. Perplexity has gone from a curiosity to a real referral source for service businesses inside a single year.
Buyer behavior has shifted with it. The pattern used to be a Google search for “best plumber near me,” a scan of the ten blue links, and a click on whichever local result looked credible. The new pattern is a ChatGPT prompt: “I need an emergency plumber in Hempstead, who should I call?” The model returns three names with rationale and citation links. The buyer makes a shortlist before ever opening a search engine. By the time a contractor gets the call, the decision has already been narrowed.
The shift hits Long Island contractors harder than most local markets. Long Island has roughly 4,500 licensed home-improvement contractors competing in two counties. Google saturation is brutal — the first page for any generic trade query is dominated by directories, listicles, and the same five names that have been there for a decade. A new contractor cannot break in by playing the old game.
AEO is the new game, and on Long Island it is wide open. A search for “AEO Long Island” returns essentially zero relevant results in early 2026. No agency owns the territory. No contractor has invested seriously enough to lock the queries. The query universe — emergency HVAC by town, kitchen remodel by budget tier, bathroom remodel by accessibility, electrical work by sub-trade — is sitting unclaimed.
Three structural facts make this the right moment for contractors specifically. First, the trades are local-intent businesses, and local-intent queries are exactly where AI search is replacing Google fastest. Second, contractor citations rely heavily on third-party platforms (Yelp, Houzz, BBB, Angi, HomeAdvisor, Newsday) that LLMs already trust at high weight. Third, contractor work has clean numeric anchors — cost ranges, timelines, square-foot pricing — that models pull into answers nearly verbatim. A contractor who ships dated cost-breakdown content in 2026 is feeding the citation engine its favorite type of source.
The opportunity has a deadline. Once one or two strong local agencies start running a real AEO playbook for Long Island contractors, citation rates lock in the way Google rankings did between 2010 and 2015. Early entrants get the citation surface for the next decade. Late entrants spend the rest of the decade trying to dislodge them.
Section 02
The 7 trades and their AEO patterns
Every trade has its own query universe, its own citation surfaces, and its own positioning trap. The framework below names the top buyer-intent queries on Long Island for each trade, the most common positioning mistake, and the angle that wins. Pick the one that matches the business, then narrow further from there.
HVAC contractors
Buyer-intent queries
- “emergency 24-hour HVAC Nassau County”
- “heat pump installer Suffolk County under $15K”
- “ductless mini-split contractor Hicksville”
Common mistake: Optimizing for “HVAC Long Island.” Too broad to ever resolve to one name.
Winning angle: The win is urgency plus sub-region. “Emergency 24-hour HVAC Nassau County” has a tiny competitor set and a buyer ready to spend that night.
Plumbers
Buyer-intent queries
- “emergency plumber Hempstead NY”
- “sewer line replacement Suffolk County cost”
- “tankless water heater installer Long Island”
Common mistake: Generic “plumber near me” framing. Models default to chains and platforms when the long tail is empty.
Winning angle: Sub-trade plus town wins. A plumber who owns the sewer-line and tankless queries beats a generalist on every emergency call.
Roofers
Buyer-intent queries
- “GAF certified roofer Suffolk County”
- “storm damage roof repair Long Island”
- “metal roof installer Nassau County”
Common mistake: Leaning on stock “free estimate” pages. Models do not cite contact forms; they cite expertise.
Winning angle: Manufacturer certification plus material plus region. “GAF certified roofer Suffolk County” is a defensible Position with a real volume floor.
Electricians
Buyer-intent queries
- “electrical panel upgrade Huntington NY”
- “EV charger installer Long Island”
- “whole house surge protector Nassau County”
Common mistake: Pretending residential and commercial are one business. The buyer queries diverge; the schema should too.
Winning angle: Pick a lane. EV chargers, panel upgrades, and historic-home rewiring each have growing AI-search demand and almost no contractor competition on Long Island yet.
Kitchen remodelers
Buyer-intent queries
- “kitchen remodeler Suffolk County under $50K”
- “custom cabinet maker Long Island”
- “kitchen remodel cost Hicksville 2026”
Common mistake: Single homepage trying to rank for “kitchen,” “bath,” and “basement” at once. Models read that as a generalist.
Winning angle: Budget tier plus region. “Kitchen remodeler Suffolk County under $50K” separates serious buyers from window shoppers and is winnable inside 90 days.
Bathroom remodelers
Buyer-intent queries
- “small bathroom remodel Long Island cost”
- “aging in place bathroom remodel Nassau County”
- “walk-in shower installer Suffolk County”
Common mistake: Treating bath as an afterthought to kitchen content. Bathrooms are a separate query universe and a separate buyer.
Winning angle: Aging-in-place and accessibility queries are growing faster than any other bathroom segment. The contractor who owns “aging in place bathroom remodel Nassau County” will own a decade of demand.
General contractors / whole-home remodelers
Buyer-intent queries
- “whole home remodel contractor Long Island”
- “additions and dormers Suffolk County”
- “design-build contractor Nassau County”
Common mistake: Listing every service equally. To a model, an undifferentiated GC is a generalist, and generalists do not get cited.
Winning angle: Anchor on one signature offering — additions, design-build, or whole-home gut renovations — and let everything else live as supporting services. Citation rate follows the anchor.
Section 03
The Citation Stack applied to contractors
The Citation Stack is the five-layer framework that maps every AEO program. It is documented in full at /citation-stack. What follows is the contractor-specific application of each layer — not a redefinition, but a translation.
Position — trade plus sub-region plus price tier
For contractors, a winnable Position is almost always three coordinates: trade, sub-region inside Long Island, and a price or urgency qualifier. “Hicksville HVAC under $15K” is a Position. “Whole-home remodels Suffolk County $200K–$500K” is a Position. “Long Island contractor” is a category, not a Position, and no schema or citation work will ever turn it into one. The Position decision is the four-hour exercise that decides whether the next twelve months of work compounds or evaporates.
Foundation — contractor-specific schema and infrastructure
Foundation for contractors means three schemas at minimum: LocalBusiness with the HomeAndConstructionBusiness subtype on the homepage, one Service schema per service page, and FAQPage on every service page. The LocalBusiness block must include the NY HIC license number in the identifier property, full areaServed coverage, real opening hours, and a knowsAbout array tied to the Position. Skip any of those and the model has to guess. Models that have to guess pick the safer competitor.
llms.txt at the root, an explicit AI-bot allowlist in robots.txt (GPTBot, OAI-SearchBot, ChatGPT-User, ClaudeBot, Claude-SearchBot, PerplexityBot, Google-Extended), and Core Web Vitals under the green thresholds (LCP < 2.5s, CLS < 0.1, INP < 200ms). Google Business Profile must be claimed, fully filled, and posting weekly. None of this is optional, and all of it is same-day work for a contractor who hires correctly.
Authority — license, insurance, BBB, before/afters with metrics
Authority signals for trades are concrete in a way they are not for most service businesses. The NY Home Improvement Contractor (HIC) license is required for almost any work above $200 — display the number prominently, link to the verification page, and embed it in schema. Liability and workers' comp certificates should be referenced on the Trust or About page. BBB rating, manufacturer certifications (GAF, Carrier, Kohler, etc.), and trade-association memberships (NARI, NAHB) all stack as authority signals.
Photos do disproportionate work for trades. Before/after photos with metrics in the captions — “1972 Levittown ranch, 9-week timeline, $74,200 final cost, 11 inspections passed first time” — read as primary-source evidence to a model. Generic gallery pages with no captions read as decoration and almost never get cited.
Citations — Yelp and Google reviews are the leverage move
For contractors, off-site citation density on the right platforms beats nearly any on-site optimization. The priority order: Google Business Profile reviews (highest weight on local-intent queries), Yelp (heavily used by Anthropic and OpenAI both), Houzz (high-weight for remodeling specifically), BBB (trust signal), Angi and HomeAdvisor (still meaningful, despite the brand wobble), NextDoor (growing fast for hyper-local queries), and the trade-specific directories (Porch, BuildZoom, manufacturer locators).
Volume and recency outweigh absolute count. A contractor with 80 Google reviews in the last 12 months gets cited more often than a contractor with 400 reviews from 2017. The single highest-leverage operational change for most Long Island contractors is a tight system: ask every closed-out customer for a review within seven days, respond to every review inside 48 hours, and never let the gap between reviews exceed a week. That habit moves citation rate more than most on-page work.
Tracking — region plus trade plus urgency variations
The contractor citation dashboard tracks 15–20 queries that vary by region, trade, and urgency. A roofer might track “best roofer Suffolk County,” “emergency roof repair Long Island,” “GAF certified roofer Nassau,” “metal roof installer Hicksville,” and 11 more variants. Each one runs daily across ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, and (where accessible) Google AI Overviews. The metric is citation rate, not keyword position. A contractor moving from 5% to 45% citation rate inside 90 days is the realistic target.
Section 04
Schema markup contractors need
What follows is copy-paste JSON-LD for the five schemas every Long Island contractor site should ship. The values are realistic placeholders — swap business name, license number, address, phone, geo coordinates, and price ranges to match the real business. None of the names, numbers, or addresses below correspond to real companies.
LocalBusiness (HomeAndConstructionBusiness)
Goes on the homepage. The @id is the canonical reference other schemas point at.
<script type="application/ld+json">
{
"@context": "https://schema.org",
"@type": "HomeAndConstructionBusiness",
"@id": "https://example-contractor.com/#localbusiness",
"name": "Hicksville Kitchen Remodelers",
"image": "https://example-contractor.com/photos/team.jpg",
"logo": "https://example-contractor.com/logo.png",
"url": "https://example-contractor.com",
"telephone": "+1-516-555-0100",
"priceRange": "$$$",
"address": {
"@type": "PostalAddress",
"streetAddress": "100 Old Country Rd",
"addressLocality": "Hicksville",
"addressRegion": "NY",
"postalCode": "11801",
"addressCountry": "US"
},
"geo": {
"@type": "GeoCoordinates",
"latitude": 40.7684,
"longitude": -73.5251
},
"areaServed": [
{ "@type": "AdministrativeArea", "name": "Nassau County, NY" },
{ "@type": "AdministrativeArea", "name": "Suffolk County, NY" }
],
"openingHoursSpecification": [{
"@type": "OpeningHoursSpecification",
"dayOfWeek": ["Monday","Tuesday","Wednesday","Thursday","Friday"],
"opens": "07:30",
"closes": "17:30"
}],
"knowsAbout": [
"Kitchen remodeling",
"Custom cabinetry",
"Quartz countertops",
"Nassau County permits",
"Long Island home renovation"
],
"identifier": [
{ "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "NY HIC License", "value": "H-XXXXXX-XX" }
]
}
</script>Service (one per service page)
Goes on each individual service page. References the parent LocalBusiness via @id. The price range is what gives the model a numeric anchor when answering cost queries.
<script type="application/ld+json">
{
"@context": "https://schema.org",
"@type": "Service",
"@id": "https://example-contractor.com/#service-kitchen",
"serviceType": "Kitchen Remodeling",
"name": "Kitchen Remodeling on Long Island",
"provider": { "@id": "https://example-contractor.com/#localbusiness" },
"areaServed": [
{ "@type": "AdministrativeArea", "name": "Nassau County, NY" },
{ "@type": "AdministrativeArea", "name": "Suffolk County, NY" }
],
"description": "Full kitchen remodels for Long Island homeowners. Cabinets, countertops, flooring, lighting, permits, and project management. Typical project range $45,000–$95,000.",
"offers": {
"@type": "Offer",
"priceSpecification": {
"@type": "PriceSpecification",
"minPrice": "45000",
"maxPrice": "95000",
"priceCurrency": "USD"
}
}
}
</script>FAQPage (homepage and every service page)
Three high-intent questions, 50–100 word answers, real numbers wherever possible. Models pull entire FAQ blocks into citations more often than any other content type.
<script type="application/ld+json">
{
"@context": "https://schema.org",
"@type": "FAQPage",
"mainEntity": [
{
"@type": "Question",
"name": "How much does a kitchen remodel cost on Long Island in 2026?",
"acceptedAnswer": {
"@type": "Answer",
"text": "Most full kitchen remodels on Long Island run $45,000 to $95,000 in 2026. Cabinets and countertops drive 55–65% of the budget. Permits average $400–$900 depending on town. Expect 8–12 weeks from demo to final inspection."
}
},
{
"@type": "Question",
"name": "Do I need a permit for a kitchen remodel in Nassau County?",
"acceptedAnswer": {
"@type": "Answer",
"text": "Yes if the remodel involves plumbing, electrical, or structural changes. Cosmetic-only work (cabinet replacement, countertops, paint) generally does not require a permit, but each town sets its own threshold. Check with the building department in your town before demo."
}
},
{
"@type": "Question",
"name": "How long does a Long Island kitchen remodel take from start to finish?",
"acceptedAnswer": {
"@type": "Answer",
"text": "8 to 12 weeks for a typical full remodel once permits are pulled. Custom cabinetry adds 4–6 weeks lead time. Expect 2–3 weeks of design and selection before demo begins."
}
}
]
}
</script>BreadcrumbList (every page below the homepage)
Helps the model understand the site hierarchy and surface deeper service pages in citations.
<script type="application/ld+json">
{
"@context": "https://schema.org",
"@type": "BreadcrumbList",
"itemListElement": [
{ "@type": "ListItem", "position": 1, "name": "Home", "item": "https://example-contractor.com/" },
{ "@type": "ListItem", "position": 2, "name": "Services", "item": "https://example-contractor.com/services/" },
{ "@type": "ListItem", "position": 3, "name": "Kitchen Remodeling", "item": "https://example-contractor.com/services/kitchen-remodeling/" }
]
}
</script>AggregateRating (only with verifiable reviews)
Use only when the rating reflects real, verifiable customer reviews and complies with Google's review-snippet guidelines. Self-attributing AggregateRating to the parent Organization is a manual-action risk and is being discounted by the model engines anyway. Attach it to a specific Product or Service whose reviews live on a third-party platform you can point at.
<script type="application/ld+json">
{
"@context": "https://schema.org",
"@type": "Product",
"name": "Kitchen Remodeling — Hicksville Kitchen Remodelers",
"description": "Full kitchen remodel service on Long Island.",
"brand": { "@type": "Brand", "name": "Hicksville Kitchen Remodelers" },
"aggregateRating": {
"@type": "AggregateRating",
"ratingValue": "4.8",
"reviewCount": "84",
"bestRating": "5",
"worstRating": "1"
}
}
</script>Section 05
12 questions Long Island contractors should optimize for
The list below is a representative slice of the buyer-intent queries Long Island homeowners are running through ChatGPT, Claude, and Perplexity right now. A contractor who builds source-grounded content for even four of these wins citation share that compounds for years.
“Who is the best HVAC contractor in Hicksville NY?”
Town plus trade plus superlative. Highest-intent local query a homeowner runs before booking.
“How much does a kitchen remodel cost in Suffolk County in 2026?”
Cost queries pull cost-breakdown content directly into AI answers. The contractor with a real, dated cost page wins the citation.
“Is a contractor required to be licensed in New York?”
Licensing queries are dominated by AI answers right now. A contractor who explains NY HIC licensing on their site becomes the source instead of a generic legal blog.
“What is the difference between a heat pump and a furnace on Long Island?”
Comparison queries map cleanly to comparison tables, which models reproduce nearly verbatim. Build the table, win the citation.
“When should I replace my roof on Long Island?”
Timing queries pull from authoritative timeline content. Pair with local weather context (Nor’easters, salt air) to outrank national sources.
“Who handles burst pipe emergencies in Hempstead at 2 AM?”
Emergency queries are a pure intent signal. The plumber who owns this query gets the call before the homeowner finishes typing.
“What permits do I need for a kitchen remodel in the Town of Huntington?”
Permit queries are hyper-local and almost never well answered. A contractor who builds a real Town of Huntington permit page becomes the cited expert.
“Best general contractor for a whole-home remodel in Nassau County under $250K?”
Budget-bounded queries are how serious buyers ask. Generalists never appear; a GC anchored on whole-home remodels at this tier does.
“How long does an electrical panel upgrade take in Long Island?”
Timeline queries are short, scannable, and easy to win with a real expert answer plus dated examples.
“What is the difference between aluminum and copper wiring in older Long Island homes?”
Material-comparison queries are evergreen. Pair with the regional angle (older Levittown housing stock) and the citation is yours.
“Who installs EV chargers in Suffolk County for Tesla and non-Tesla?”
Brand-aware buyer queries are growing fast. The electrician who clearly handles both wins what is still a wide-open niche.
“How do I know if my contractor on Long Island is legit?”
Trust queries pull from contractor sites that explain license, insurance, and BBB ratings transparently. The contractor who answers this for the buyer becomes the buyer’s default.
Section 06
Common contractor AEO mistakes
Eight failure modes that show up on most Long Island contractor sites in 2026. Each one is fixable in days. Each one costs months of citation compounding while it remains.
- Trying to rank for “Long Island contractor.” The query universe contains roughly 4,500 licensed competitors. No amount of schema or content beats that without a decade of brand spend. Narrow the Position to trade plus sub-region plus qualifier and the math starts working.
- No llms.txt and no AI-bot allowlist in robots.txt. Most contractor sites still ship a 2018 robots.txt with wildcards that either block or fail to explicitly allow GPTBot, ClaudeBot, PerplexityBot, and Google-Extended. The fix is a thirty-minute edit. Skipping it is leaving the front door locked.
- License and credentials buried or missing. The NY HIC license number, certifications (GAF, Carrier, NARI), and insurance certificates should be visible above the fold and embedded in schema. A contractor who hides these reads as untrustworthy to a model evaluating local credibility signals.
- Generic service pages instead of trade-plus-region-plus-intent pages. A single page titled “Kitchen Remodeling” with no regional anchor does not win against a page titled “Kitchen Remodeling in Suffolk County: Cost, Timeline, and Permits in 2026.” The second page is the citation candidate. The first page is a placeholder.
- Ignoring Yelp and Google reviews because “we get business from referrals.” Referrals do not feed the citation engine. Reviews do. A contractor with a 30% referral business and zero recent reviews loses every AI-search query to a contractor with the same craft and 80 reviews in the last year.
- No FAQPage schema on service pages. FAQPage is the highest-citation-rate schema type for service businesses. Models pull FAQ answers into responses nearly verbatim. Shipping a service page without an FAQ block is the most common preventable miss on contractor sites.
- LocalBusiness schema with missing fields. The frequent gaps: no
areaServed, noopeningHoursSpecification, nopriceRange, noidentifierfor the license number, and noknowsAboutarray. Each missing field is a model query that has to be answered by guessing. - Slow Core Web Vitals on service pages. A hero video, uncompressed images, and 600KB of unused JavaScript push LCP past 4 seconds and INP past 300ms. Slow pages get retrieved less, get cited less, and convert worse. The fix is a weekend of work for any competent developer.
Section 07
How to start
Four steps. Two weeks of elapsed time if a contractor moves with intent. Most of the work is decision-making, not engineering.
Run a free AEO audit.
Score the site across all six AEO pillars and pull a live citation snapshot from Anthropic and OpenAI. The audit names the highest-leverage gaps in under a minute. No email required. Run it at /audit.
Pick a winnable Position.
Trade plus sub-region plus optional price tier. The query universe must be small enough that the contractor can plausibly become the most credible source on it. The full Position framework lives at /citation-stack#position; the contractor adaptation is in Section 03 above.
Deploy the Foundation layer.
Schema (LocalBusiness, Service, FAQPage, BreadcrumbList), llms.txt, robots.txt with explicit AI-bot allowlist, Core Web Vitals fixes, and Google Business Profile completeness. Same-day audit lift of 15+ points is normal. Full Foundation guide at /citation-stack#foundation.
Decide DIY or hire.
The compounding work — monthly content, press pitches, vertical directories, citation tracking, schema iteration — is the moat. Either it gets owned in-house or it gets owned by an agency. It does not get done in spare time. Tier and pricing decision at /pricing.
Common questions from contractors
How long until a contractor business shows up in ChatGPT and Claude?
Audit-score lift on Foundation work is same-day. The metric that actually moves revenue — citation rate on niche-specific queries — moves on a 60- to 90-day curve. That is how long press placements, vertical directory listings, and content compounding take to register inside LLM training and retrieval indexes. A contractor going from 0% citation rate to 40%+ on their target queries inside 90 days is the realistic target for Long Island.
Do contractors need a separate site for each trade they offer?
No. One site is fine. What is required is one canonical resource page per service per region, internally linked back to a clear Position. A roofer who also does siding does not need two domains. They need a roofing hub page and a siding hub page that both spoke off a homepage with one clear specialty.
What is the most important AEO signal for contractors specifically?
Off-site citation density beats every on-site signal once Foundation is in place. A contractor with strong NAP-consistent listings on Houzz, Yelp, BBB, Angi, HomeAdvisor, and a single Newsday or LIBN editorial mention will outrank a contractor with a perfect website and zero third-party validation. Models trust the platforms they have been trained to trust.
Can a contractor do AEO themselves or is an agency required?
Position, Google Business Profile claim, and a llms.txt file are all DIY in a weekend. Schema deployment takes a developer half a day. The compounding work — monthly content, press pitches, citation tracking, vertical directory submissions, schema iteration — is what most contractors outsource because it never gets done if it is not someone’s job. The DIY path works for owners with a bias to ship; it stalls for everyone else.
How is AEO different from local SEO for a Long Island contractor?
Local SEO ranks pages on a Google search results list. AEO gets a contractor named as a source inside a generated answer in ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, or Google AI Overviews. The on-page work overlaps about 80%. The 20% delta is structured Q&A content, llms.txt, AI-bot allowlists, citation density on platforms LLMs trust, and tracking citation rate instead of keyword position.
Why focus on Long Island specifically?
Long Island has roughly 4,500 licensed home-improvement contractors competing in two counties with strong buyer intent and high household income. Google saturation is brutal. AEO saturation is roughly zero — the query “AEO Long Island” returned zero relevant results in early 2026. That gap is closing fast. The contractors who deploy Position, Foundation, and Authority before the second half of 2026 will own the citation surface for the next decade. Anyone arriving in 2027 will be playing catch-up.
Do online reviews really matter for AI search?
Yes — disproportionately for trades. Models heavily weight Google and Yelp review density and recency when answering local-service queries. A contractor with 80 reviews in the last 12 months gets cited more often than a contractor with 400 reviews from 2017. Set a system to ask every closed-out customer for a review within 7 days and respond to every review inside 48 hours. That single habit moves citation rate more than most on-page work.
What if a contractor has bad Google reviews?
Address the public ones professionally and recover from there. Models read review density and trajectory more than absolute rating. A 4.2-star contractor with 80 recent reviews and thoughtful owner responses outperforms a 4.8-star contractor with 30 reviews and no engagement. The fastest fix is volume — ask every happy customer, every time, for the next 60 days. Trajectory matters more than history.
The audit names the gap. The Stack closes it.
The fastest way for a Long Island contractor to know where the business sits on the AEO surface is to run the free audit. It scores all six pillars, pulls a live citation snapshot from Anthropic and OpenAI, and names the three or four highest-leverage gaps in under a minute. No email required. No demo call needed.
Then read the Citation Stack in full, decide whether the work happens in-house or with an agency, and start before the second half of 2026. The contractors who deploy first own the citation surface for the next decade.